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Source document· February 26, 2026

Ibotta outlines Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $78M-$82M with LiveLift driving transformation

View original at seekingalpha.com
Ibotta outlines Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $78M-$82M with LiveLift driving transformation Earnings Call Insights: Ibotta, Inc…
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  • Third-party redeemer growth attributed to new publisher partnerships and innovations in in-store and online awareness

    80% confidence
  • Clients can purchase sales lift studies just as they would for other forms of digital media through partnerships with Circana and ABCS Insights

    80% confidence
  • There's real emphasis on value among clients and Ibotta is well positioned in terms of the macro environment

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA expected in range of $6 million to $8 million, representing about 9% adjusted EBITDA margin at midpoint

    80% confidence
  • Stock-based compensation expense expected to be approximately $10 million higher than 2025

    80% confidence
  • Broad-based sequential progress in year-over-year redemption revenue trends throughout Q4, with LiveLift revenue better than projected and SNAP program contributing incremental revenue

    80% confidence
  • LiveLift is a TAM expander with ability to provide ongoing, actionable metrics

    80% confidence
  • Q4 revenue and adjusted EBITDA are both above the top end of the guidance range, representing an improvement in year-over-year revenue trends compared to Q3

    80% confidence
  • Outperformance attributed to improved execution, core product strengthening, and expansion of LiveLift

    80% confidence
  • LiveLift allows clients to see projected incremental sales and cost per incremental dollar at various intervals during campaigns, enabling better optimization

    80% confidence
  • Average campaign size in LiveLift from companies piloting it is substantially larger than average campaign size in core Ibotta offering from same companies

    80% confidence
  • More offers, better quality offers, and longer duration on network drive more redemptions per redeemer

    80% confidence
  • Q4 revenue and adjusted EBITDA were 7% and 31% above the midpoint of Q3 guidance respectively

    80% confidence
  • Companies added additional budget to same brands and added additional brands into the program

    80% confidence
  • Low single-digit sequential revenue growth expected in Q2 versus Q1, and slight year-over-year revenue growth expected in Q3

    80% confidence
  • Third-party redeemers grew by almost 3.5 million in Q4, with about one-third from existing publishers

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 revenue expected in range of $78 million to $82 million, representing 5% year-over-year decline at midpoint

    80% confidence
  • LiveLift is the most sophisticated capability and represents where the industry is heading

    80% confidence
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What we're seeing
Enterprise AI Agents Go Mainstream, But Trustworthy Data Access Lags Adoption
A wave of enterprise AI agent activity — fresh funding (Latitude's $35M Series A), a run of CB Insights CEO interviews spotlighting fintech- and healthcare-focused agent startups (Covecta, Penguin AI, Maisa AI), and major platform partnerships (Microsoft-Mistral, Manulife-Microsoft AI governance, Siemens-NVIDIA agentic EDA, Box's agent security controls) — signals agentic AI moving from pilot to production across financial and enterprise workflows. Yet Google Cloud's own research shows adoption is outrunning data readiness (companies average AI access to only 45% of their data, with 'data laggards' capped near 30%), while insider selling at incumbent C3.ai hints at mixed investor conviction even as the broader ecosystem accelerates.
Our read on the data ›
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Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
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Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
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