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Source document· February 19, 2026

EBay outlines 10–12% GMV growth target for Q1 2026 while advancing C2C strategy through Depop acquisition

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EBay outlines 10–12% GMV growth target for Q1 2026 while advancing C2C strategy through Depop acquisition Earnings Call Insights: eBay Inc…
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  • eBay Live is a natural extension of the marketplace contributing to double-digit growth in focus categories

    80% confidence
  • Depop is a great strategic fit for eBay given its younger demographic and synergy with the C2C and fashion segments

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 GMV expected between $21.5 billion and $21.9 billion, representing 10-12% FX-neutral growth

    80% confidence
  • Losses were primarily attributable to recently launched shipping programs, which significantly improved the seller and buyer experience, though they are expected to decline over time

    80% confidence
  • Depop acquisition is a natural strategic and cultural fit that strengthens eBay's C2C value proposition

    80% confidence
  • Depop acquisition projected to be a low single-digit headwind to 2026 operating income and non-GAAP EPS growth, with long-term accretion expected by 2028

    80% confidence
  • The strength in GMV is broad-based, not solely attributable to bullion and coins

    80% confidence
  • We continue to see a long runway for secular growth in trading cards

    80% confidence
  • We expect non-GAAP operating income growth between 8% and 10% year-over-year in 2026

    80% confidence
  • Depop acquisition expected to contribute 1 to 2 percentage points to total FX-neutral GMV growth year-over-year, assuming deal closes in Q2

    80% confidence
  • Focus category rollout internationally has been performing well, though macro conditions in Europe remain challenging

    80% confidence
  • Focus categories, C2C, and recommerce comprised 2/3 of eBay's business and generated roughly $50 billion in unique GMV with approximately 10% growth

    80% confidence
  • A significant amount of the acceleration from Q4 to Q1 was related to bullion and collectible uptick, but confidence remains in the durability of core growth

    80% confidence
  • The underlying health of the business is the strongest it's been since I've joined the company 6 years ago

    80% confidence
  • GMV grew over 8% to $21.2 billion, revenue grew over 13% to $2.96 billion, non-GAAP operating income grew over 11% to $775 million, non-GAAP EPS grew nearly 13% to $1.41, and returned $756 million to shareholders

    80% confidence
  • We finished 2025 with incredible momentum as we delivered Q4 results that meaningfully exceeded our expectations

    80% confidence
  • Years of investment are paying off, with broad-based growth momentum carrying through to 2026

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
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What we're seeing
AI Funding Surge: Capital Floods Fintech, Foundation Models, and Autonomous Systems
A concentrated burst of AI-linked funding on 2026-08-28 pushed well over $1.5B into companies spanning fraud/identity fintech (Socure, which also acquired Fravity), foundation models (Stability AI), AI agents and enterprise tooling (Instinct, Generalist AI, Emerald AI, Owner), and AI-adjacent autonomous/aerospace ventures (Gatik, Regent Craft). The breadth and simultaneity of these rounds signal that investor appetite for AI is not concentrated in a single vertical but is broadening into applied and infrastructure-adjacent domains, with consolidation (Socure-Fravity) beginning alongside fresh capital formation.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
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EBay outlines 10–12% GMV growth target for Q1 2026 while advancing C2C strategy through Depop acquisition — Source | Via News | ViaNews EU