Source trace. Via News points to the documents behind its reporting and shows what we drew from each — so you can check any claim. How we source

Source document

FRED: 10-Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury at 0.56% (2026-03-27)

View original at fred.stlouisfed.org

FEDERAL RESERVE ECONOMIC DATA (FRED) RELEASE Series: 10-Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury Series ID: T10Y2Y Release Date: 2026-06-12 Frequency: Daily Source: Federal Reserve Category: Rates CURRENT VALUE: The 10-Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury stands at 0.39% as of 2026-06-12…

Opening lines of the source · short snapshot — read the full document at the original

What we drew from this source

The claims Via News extracted from this document. We point to the source; we don't replace it.

Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative spread) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation.
60% confidence
Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy; changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation
60% confidence
Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy; changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation.
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative T10Y2Y spread) historically predicts recession.
60% confidence
Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy and changes affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative spread) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation.
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession
60% confidence
Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession
60% confidence