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Source document· December 14, 2025

Trump's Fed pick comes into focus, economic data backlog clears: What to watch this week

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Trump's Fed pick comes into focus, economic data backlog clears: What to watch this week Stocks closed on Friday in the red, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) down roughly 1.7% while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) shed 0.5% and 1%, respectively…
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  • Federal Reserve projects only one rate cut in 2026

    80% confidence
  • The central question for Hassett nomination is whether Fed credibility will endure

    80% confidence
  • USD weakening against other currencies is driven by news around the Fed's next leader

    80% confidence
  • There is a potential changing of the guard in the AI trade, with next big beneficiaries being businesses implementing the technology rather than chip manufacturers or hyperscalers

    80% confidence
  • Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh are both great candidates for Fed chair

    80% confidence
  • Debt issuance by hyperscalers represents a dramatic jump from pre-Covid levels

    80% confidence
  • Markets giving Hassett benefit of the doubt but perception that policy favors growth over price stability could risk unanchoring expectations

    80% confidence
  • There are a couple of other people besides Hassett and Warsh who are great Fed chair candidates

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
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What we're seeing
AI Capital Surge Meets Investor Caution: Record Funding Rounds and Government Contracts Amid Valuation Skepticism
A single-week cluster of large AI/fintech funding rounds (Socure, Stability AI, Emerald AI, Generalist AI, Instinct, Gatik, Regent Craft) shows venture capital still pouring into AI infrastructure, identity, and autonomy plays, while Palantir's Army TITAN contract win coincided with a 6% stock drop — signaling that even flagship AI-defense revenue isn't immune to market reassessment of AI valuations. Efficiency-focused innovations like Multiverse Computing's model compression suggest the sector is also pivoting toward cost/inference economics as capital intensity draws scrutiny.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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