A SpaceX IPO could be the largest public offering of all time—and Elon Musk’s biggest headache
View original at finance.yahoo.comA SpaceX IPO could be the largest public offering of all time—and Elon Musk’s biggest headache The SpaceX public offering could very well be the largest public offering of all time—bringing in even more money than Saudi Aramco’s cosmic $29 billion public listing in 2019…
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SpaceX has been cash flow positive for many years
80% confidenceThe SpaceX IPO will be the most anticipated and successful IPO ever
80% confidenceSpaceX's board is heavily weighted toward insiders and Musk loyalists; a meaningful expansion of truly independent board members is expected ahead of any listing
80% confidenceSpaceX has effectively hit the ceiling of what private markets can support
80% confidenceSpaceX has been cash flow positive for many years
80% confidenceSpaceX will generate around $15 billion in revenue in 2025
80% confidenceSpaceX will generate between $22 billion to $24 billion in revenue in 2026
80% confidenceThere is somewhere around $100 trillion to $150 trillion invested in global equities vs $2 trillion to $3 trillion available in private markets
80% confidenceWhether and when a SpaceX IPO would take place is highly uncertain
80% confidenceAn impending tender offer will double SpaceX's valuation to approximately $800 billion
80% confidenceSpaceX's board is heavily weighted toward insiders and Musk loyalists and would need meaningful expansion of truly independent board members ahead of any listing
80% confidenceSpaceX will generate around $15 billion in revenue in 2025 and between $22 billion to $24 billion in 2026
80% confidenceThe SpaceX IPO will be the most anticipated and successful IPO ever
80% confidenceMusk admitted the personal toll of Tesla vehicle vandalism and plummeting Tesla stock price
80% confidenceFinancing a multi-decade, industrial-scale road map simply doesn't map cleanly onto private fund structures
80% confidenceA $9 billion short position into Tesla was hurtful
80% confidenceSpaceX has effectively hit the ceiling of what private markets can support
80% confidenceMusk described a $9 billion short position in Tesla as hurtful
80% confidenceSpaceX's CFO told employees that whether and when an IPO would take place was highly uncertain
80% confidence