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Source document· March 3, 2026

Stocks Sink as Crude Oil Surge Rattles Markets

View original at nasdaq.com
Stocks Sink as Crude Oil Surge Rattles Markets The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is down -2.18%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is down -2.27%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is down -2.37%…
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  • We will set fire to any ship attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence

  • The real-time risk premium for crude oil is $18/bbl, corresponding to the impact of a six-week full halt to tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence

  • Inflation has been above the Fed's objective for nearly five years now, so I don't think we have room to be complacent

    80% confidence

  • Combat operations against Iran could last for weeks until all objectives were completed

    80% confidence

  • S&P earnings growth is expected to climb by 8.4% in Q4, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth

    80% confidence

  • Additional Fed interest rate cuts will be warranted if inflation slows further once most of the impact of tariffs has passed

    80% confidence

  • Excluding the Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks, Q4 earnings are expected to increase by 4.6%

    80% confidence

  • Iran's leaders should capitulate

    80% confidence

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What we're seeing
AI Funding Surge: Capital Floods Fintech, Foundation Models, and Autonomous Systems
A concentrated burst of AI-linked funding on 2026-08-28 pushed well over $1.5B into companies spanning fraud/identity fintech (Socure, which also acquired Fravity), foundation models (Stability AI), AI agents and enterprise tooling (Instinct, Generalist AI, Emerald AI, Owner), and AI-adjacent autonomous/aerospace ventures (Gatik, Regent Craft). The breadth and simultaneity of these rounds signal that investor appetite for AI is not concentrated in a single vertical but is broadening into applied and infrastructure-adjacent domains, with consolidation (Socure-Fravity) beginning alongside fresh capital formation.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
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