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Source document· January 24, 2026

Stocks Finish Mostly Higher Despite a Plunge in Intel

View original at nasdaq.com
Stocks Finish Mostly Higher Despite a Plunge in Intel The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Friday closed up +0.03%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed down -0.58%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +0.34%…
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  • Excluding Magnificent Seven, Q4 earnings expected to increase by +4.6%

    80% confidence
  • A breakthrough over Greenland was secured without discussing the territory's sovereignty with President Trump, instead focusing on Arctic security

    80% confidence
  • Packaging Corp of America plans to raise prices by $70 a ton, effective March 1

    80% confidence
  • Expressed reluctance to name Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair, prefers keeping him as National Economic Council director

    80% confidence
  • US is threatening to curb the supply of dollars for Iraqi oil sales as it pressures Iraq's leading politicians to form a government that excludes Iran-backed militia groups

    80% confidence
  • Intel provided lackluster forecast

    80% confidence
  • Would refrain from imposing tariffs on goods from European nations that oppose his Greenland acquisition effort

    80% confidence
  • Netflix is on track to win the backing of Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders for its offer for Warner Bros. film and television studios

    80% confidence
  • Expects 2026 operating margin expansion of 200 to 300 basis points from adjusted fiscal 2025 performance

    80% confidence
  • Revived threats to use military force against Iran's senior leadership for violent crackdown on protests

    80% confidence
  • S&P earnings growth expected to climb by +8.4% in Q4

    80% confidence
  • Intel is struggling with manufacturing problems

    80% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · rate cut probability3 percent
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Oncology Data Season and Biotech Capital Allocation: ESMO Readouts, Ivonescimab PDUFA, and Diverging Corporate Moves
Late-2026 biotech is driven by a dense catalyst calendar. ESMO 2026 delivers data from ivonescimab, Enhertu, R-DXd and bemarituzumab, and the FDA has set a 14 Nov PDUFA date for the ivonescimab BLA. Capital allocation is diverging. Krystal Biotech authorized a $400M buyback while lowering FY2026 spend guidance and pushing milestones into 2027. Spago is moving to delist from Nasdaq First North. The facts are clinical and corporate events, not AI or fintech, so the finance angle is limited to capital markets (buybacks, guidance, delistings, regulatory timelines).
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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