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Source document· May 17, 2026

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Wants to Blow Up the Playbook That's Kept Stocks Rising for 15 Years. Here's What Investors Should Do Now.

View original at nasdaq.com
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Wants to Blow Up the Playbook That's Kept Stocks Rising for 15 Years. Here's What Investors Should Do Now. Key Points New Fed chair Kevin Warsh wants to shrink the Fed's balance sheet…
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  • Kevin Warsh wants to aggressively reduce the Fed's balance sheet and believes the Fed should use interest rates rather than its balance sheet as a policy tool.

    60% confidence
  • Stock Advisor has a total average return of 993% compared to 207% for the S&P 500.

    60% confidence
  • Tech stocks with sky-high earnings multiples could see their valuations reduced as higher discount rates are applied to their projected future earnings if the Fed reduces its balance sheet.

    60% confidence
  • A shrinking Fed balance sheet won't be catastrophic; markets will adapt over time to any changes under Warsh's leadership.

    60% confidence
  • The Fed's balance sheet disproportionately helps those with financial assets.

    60% confidence
  • Investors should reduce exposure to QE-dependent stocks, increase exposure to financials like Berkshire Hathaway, shift bonds to shorter durations, build cash, and maintain a long-term perspective.

    60% confidence
  • Warsh's desire for a smaller Fed balance sheet means that the Fed Put is somewhat deeper out of the money but remains present in the event of a real crisis.

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

S&P 500 Index Fund · benchmark return207 percent
S&P 500 Index Fund · price appreciation6 multiple_x
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
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What we're seeing
AI Funding Surge: Capital Floods Fintech, Foundation Models, and Autonomous Systems
A concentrated burst of AI-linked funding on 2026-08-28 pushed well over $1.5B into companies spanning fraud/identity fintech (Socure, which also acquired Fravity), foundation models (Stability AI), AI agents and enterprise tooling (Instinct, Generalist AI, Emerald AI, Owner), and AI-adjacent autonomous/aerospace ventures (Gatik, Regent Craft). The breadth and simultaneity of these rounds signal that investor appetite for AI is not concentrated in a single vertical but is broadening into applied and infrastructure-adjacent domains, with consolidation (Socure-Fravity) beginning alongside fresh capital formation.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
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New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Wants to Blow Up the Playbook That's Kept Stocks Rising for 15 Years. Here's What Investors Should Do Now. — Source | Via News | ViaNews EU