Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500 cap volatile week with back-to-back weekly losses

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• Long-run expectations softened over the last two months of 2025, then edged up in January 2026. Expectations exhibit substantial uncertainty, though less than in mid-2025

  80% confidence

• Tesla is a 'believe or not' religion, not a stock based on fundamentals

  80% confidence

• We've really seen the improvement in the demand profile across every segment of the business, certainly, premium and loyalty are the biggest drivers of that. But I think we actually like the trends we're seeing in Main Cabin right now

  80% confidence

• Our national security business continues to see good growth and very good prospects, but I think what's really exciting to us is our civil business is starting to reignite. The market does feel like it's at an inflection point

  80% confidence

• Trump argued that his moves worked out, as the market was 'just about even' for the week

  80% confidence

• The flash PMI brought news of sustained economic growth at the start of the year, but there are further signs that the rate of expansion has cooled over the turn of the new year compared to the hotter pace indicated back in the fall. Increased costs, widely blamed on tariffs, are again cited as a key driver of higher prices for both goods and services in January, meaning inflation and affordability remains a widespread concern among businesses

  80% confidence

• Trump said he has a pick for next Fed chair in mind after wrapping up interviews and will name the replacement for Jerome Powell 'soon'

  80% confidence

• While the overall improvement was small, it was broad based, seen across the income distribution, educational attainment, older and younger consumers, and Republicans and Democrats alike. However, national sentiment remains more than 20% below a year ago, as consumers continue to report pressures on their purchasing power stemming from high prices and the prospect of weakening labor markets

  80% confidence

• People are looking to diversify away from US assets, and I would kind of describe it as quiet-quitting of US bonds. I don't think there's going to be a massive announcement, I just think they're going to look for opportunities to diversify away

  80% confidence

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